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Jun 5Liked by Erik Michaels

Today, many perceive Globalization as the imposition of a global-order enforced upon nations and societies

Nevertheless, upon closer observation of the substantial influx of technology supplies pouring into war-torn Iraq today, a nation devoid of industrial and metal bases, from across the globe in pursuit of extracting increasingly scarce oil, one begins to discern a narrative beyond the mainstream discourse.

Despite the prevailing belief that oil extraction in Iraq costs only $1 per barrel, the true Energy expense reveals itself in the ongoing decay of cities and towns across America and around the globe.

As the extraction of oil from Iraq continues upward, the stark reality emerges: there isn't sufficient oil to sustain the maintenance of our industrial infrastructure and current life style worldwide.

This will end up a vicious "Peak Oil Musical Chairs Game" sooner or later - Iraq, Gaza, Ukraine, Russia, Sudan, Syria, Libya - and on and on.

This arises from the inherent reality that no matter how much seemingly little energy humans expend in the extraction process, the energy obtained will invariably be less and less than the energy invested and burned in the process.

It took over 60 years of extensive coal extraction in America before coal supplanted wood as the predominant mainstream fuel - "Energy, like time, flows from past to future".

Today, without the daily importation of diesel into China - rivers and seas - the annual production of 8 billion tonnes of coal in China would grind to a halt overnight

This was applicable to the first oils from Baku, Romania, Pennsylvania, Kirkuk, Persia, Texas and on and on, too - i.e. without the mass deforestation of Europe, America and Russia and critical number of minimum living humans - no mass coal has been possible.

No matter how true Peak Oil is, Peak Oil is now an outdated, partial and short-sighted realisation.

What replaces it is an entirely new school of thoughts;

"No matter how highly mechanised and self-powered, fossil fuels extraction requires a number of people - as if the process is executed by hands using buckets and ropes - by physics.

Today, this number is 8 billion people - working flat out 24/7 - strong. (also read on automated telephone exchanges and Shannon's digital limits, where half of the women in the US would have been needed to work as manual telephone-exchange operators. But don't think those armies of women were set redundant by technology. They have just changed their role in shoring up the telecommunication revolution of the day - indirectly fossil fuels' extraction).

Humans were not ready morally, ethically and intellectually to start the mass extraction of fossil fuels with the advent of the steam engine 300 years ago.

In any system of energy, Control is what consumes energy the most.

No energy store holds enough energy to extract an amount of energy equal to the total energy it stores.

No system of energy can deliver sum useful energy in excess of the total energy put into constructing it.

This universal truth applies to all systems.

Energy, like time, flows from past to future” (2017).

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(You need a button labelled "Don't like, but agree." It's hard to read this and press "Like!")

There seems to be a popular delusion that, ~12,000 years ago, we clever monkeys laid down our spears and took up hoes, en masse.

Anthropologists and archaeologists will tell you that's not how it happened. Over a period of some thousand years or so, we switched back and forth between the two, often within one lifetime, subject to environmental issues and probably village politics, too. That is roughly five times as long as it took for fossil sunlight to launch us into our present predicament!

There are some serious problems with us returning to a hunter-gatherer life-style, even if you assume a massive die-off. We've extirpated much of the non-livestock game, for one. So the population would have to be quite tiny for the survivors to subsist on wildlife.

Often overlooked is a middle-ground between hunter-gatherer and full-on agriculture. Most areas used a mixture of the two for hundreds of years, before settling into agriculture. And around this time, a curious thing happened: domestication of livestock. Goats were probably the first, followed quickly with cows and sheep.

This led to a period of "pastoralism," a sort of middle-ground between hunting/gathering and agriculture. We would still gather, but mostly, we'd herd newly tamed animals — usually dairy animals — with the seasons. Pastoralism occupied many of our progenitors for a thousand years or so, between hunting/gathering and agriculture.

Pastoralism seems like a viable occupation in a world beset by climate change. But private property will have to go away, first.

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author

Yep, I'm well aware of how the transition didn't occur overnight and how some areas escaped the transition altogether while other areas went back and forth. Honestly, I don't think most people will return to a hunter-gatherer lifestyle until forced to by nature, and even then it might only be for a short period of time before lack of habitat takes its toll.

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“But a team in Scotland are warning exactly that—we’re running out. Fast. Alister Hamilton is a researcher at the University of Edinburgh and the founder of Zero Emissions Scotland. He and his colleagues self-funded research into oil depletion around the world and the results are shocking: We will lose access to oil around the world in the 2030s. “?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r79rxfOFJJY

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Do you have an RSS feed? I find that a more convenient way of keeping up, rather than putting even more stuff in my bottomless email in-box.

I tried the usual suspects ("/rss", "/feed") but no joy.

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author

Sorry, I actually have no idea.

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do you expect many deaths and how fast like I live in belgium ?

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author

Yes. How fast is difficult to predict. One thing is pretty certain - over the next 75 years, most likely 7 out of every 8 people alive today will be gone. Other possibilities include extinction by then, although, again, this is difficult to predict.

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so our current 8 billion humans will not see the year 2030 like agenda 2030 and earth4all stated because there quote is leave no one behind through 2030

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